India to dethrone US for dev numbers as AI reshapes coding, says GitHub

Steven

India to dethrone US for dev numbers as AI reshapes coding, says GitHub

Summary

GitHub’s Octoverse 2025 projects that India will become the world’s largest developer community by 2030, driven by rapid growth across APAC, government skilling programmes and AI-enabled local-language tooling.

Today the US remains the leader with roughly 28 million developers, but GitHub forecasts India will add around 35.6 million developers to reach about 57.5 million by 2030 versus a projected 54.7 million in the US. Brazil and China are also forecast to grow substantially.

AI is reshaping how developers work and what they build: TypeScript climbed to the top language spot, AI-related repositories have surged past 4.3 million, Copilot adoption is rapid, and generative AI SDKs and agentic tools are moving from experiments into production.

Key Points

  • India is projected to reach ~57.5 million developers by 2030, overtaking the US (projected ~54.7 million).
  • The US currently leads with about 28 million developers and has been the “steady number one” for the past five years.
  • APAC growth is fuelled by government skilling initiatives and AI-assisted local-language tooling.
  • TypeScript is now the top language — contributors grew 66% year-on-year to over 1 million; Python (850k) and JavaScript (427k) follow.
  • AI footprint: 4.3m+ AI-related repositories; 1.13m public repos rely on generative AI SDKs (up 178% year-on-year).
  • Copilot adoption is strong: 80% of new users deploy it within their first week on the platform.
  • Agentic tools, local inference projects (eg. ollama, ragflow) and interoperability moves like MCP are becoming mainstream.

Author’s take

Punchy: This matters. Talent pools and where software gets built are shifting fast — AI is the accelerant, and India/APAC are scaling the labour and ecosystem that will drive the next decade of development.

Why should I read this?

Short and straight: if you hire, build tooling, buy services or set policy, these trends change where talent comes from and how code gets shipped. This is the future map for dev communities and AI-enabled workflows — worth five minutes of your time.

Source

Source: https://go.theregister.com/feed/www.theregister.com/2025/10/29/india_devs_github/